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  • Essay / Anaylisis Poll - 789

    Public opinion polls analyzed and compared include the following two: a Pew organization poll on the topic of outside campaign spending and a Rasmussen organization poll on the electoral college . Before proceeding with any comparison or analysis, the property in question for both must be identified as it will enable analysis of aspects such as sample sizes and appropriate methodologies with respect to the question, which will enable the emergence of possible discrepancies. These discrepancies will be the evidence supporting the conclusion regarding the strength of one poll over the other. The property in question for the Pew poll measures public awareness of an increase in the amount of money spent by outside campaign groups (Super PAC's) on elections. In the Rasmussen poll, the property in question gauges sentiment toward the idea of ​​eliminating the Electoral College in order to make the popular vote the sole method of selecting a U.S. president. Both are political topics, but the approach each took to collecting data was distinct. Here is some of the data provided by the organizations. The sample size for the Pew survey was a group of 1,010 adults residing in the United States, with the sample population consisting of people with landline or cell phone numbers in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia . The sample size of the Rasmussen poll was 1,000 "likely voters", with the sample drawn from a pool of landline numbers and online surveys. The sample size used by both organizations is large enough to avoid any haste, according to Table 10-1 (354), where a sample of 1,000 gives a margin of error of approximately plus or minus... ... middle of paper ......ling or the results. The sample was large enough to avoid any haste or weak generalizations and the process by which they went about collecting the data was completely random in terms of selecting a balanced and equal number of participants. The target population was the general American public and these methods appear to accurately reflect the characteristics of the target. With the techniques used by Rasmussen, it becomes possible for bias to set in. The main problem comes with online surveys because although they are sent to a specific group of people, the number of those who decided to participate or if it was the right choice. a person cannot escape the control of the pollsters, which is one aspect. The target population, active voters in the United States, then becomes more difficult to reach due to the lack of randomly selected participants..